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2024-12-14 00:28:06

CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.Biden's last speech on the economy warned Trump that "trickle-down economics" was making a comeback. US President Biden publicized his economic achievements in a speech at the Brookings Institution in Washington on Tuesday, and warned Trump to repeat the Republican "trickle-down economics" during his second term. This may be his last speech on the economy during his tenure. Biden said in his speech that he promoted investment in infrastructure, manufacturing and neglected communities, avoided a bigger economic crisis and laid the foundation for sustained economic growth. "The new government will take over a fairly strong economy, and most economists agree with this view," Biden said. "I deeply hope that the new government can maintain and carry forward such progress. Biden proudly said that after decades of trickle-down economics, which gave priority to the wealthy Americans, his government adopted a new approach. At present, the economy is growing from the inside out and from the bottom up, benefiting the middle class. He admitted that American workers still suffer from inflation and high housing prices. Biden stressed that during his tenure, he created 16 million jobs, the highest in a single presidency, the lowest average unemployment rate in all previous governments in the past 50 years, and the smallest racial gap between the rich and the poor in the past 20 years. Biden warned Trump to provide more tax cuts for the rich and enterprises during his second term, and said that Trump's commitment to impose tariffs on overseas goods may make a "big mistake". He also said that he thought Trump would be in trouble if he stopped the investments he made during his administration, because these investments benefited many Republican and Democratic-led states.Shares of 9 listed companies were reduced by important shareholders. Company No.9 -WD has the highest reduction amount. Based on the change deadline, on December 10th, 3 shares were increased by important shareholders, and Jintou City gained an increase of 6,019,200 shares by important shareholders, with an increase amount of 16,624,800 yuan. The shares of nine listed companies were reduced by important shareholders, and the ninth company -WD was reduced by 5,051,600 shares by important shareholders, with a reduction amount of 238 million yuan.


Byte transmission improves the priority of clipping and dreaming business, and the official has not responded for the time being. Byte management judges that AI dialogue products (or chatbot products) may only be the "intermediate state" of AI products, and a more ideal product form for a long time requires a more visual user experience and a lower threshold for users to use. Therefore, Byte has promoted the product priority of Dreaming, and tried to create a "Tik Tok" in the AI ​ ​ era with a new path. The media asked Byte for verification on this news, and the official has not responded yet. (Sina Technology)Shanghai Electric discussed new energy cooperation with South Korea's Hyosung Group. According to Shanghai Electric, on the morning of December 9, Leo, Party Secretary and Chairman of Shanghai Electric Group, went to Seoul, South Korea to visit South Korea's Hyosung Group and held talks with its president Zhao Xianjun. The two sides had in-depth exchanges on joint ventures and cooperation in the field of new energy. Zhao Xianjun expressed the hope that the two sides will strengthen cooperation in the fields of wind power and hydrogen energy and jointly explore Korean and overseas markets. During the talks, the two sides also discussed the cooperation potential in the fields of hydrogen energy and power grid equipment, and sought cooperation opportunities in technology research and development, project investment and market development.Guojin Securities: There is a certain room for the valuation of brokers to rise, focusing on two main lines. Guojin Securities said that looking forward to 2025, liquidity is expected to be further relaxed, market stability will be improved, and a solid market bottom will be built. The improvement of economic fundamentals will be confirmed, and the stock market is expected to go further, which will benefit the valuation and performance of brokerage sectors. Under the background of previous liquidity easing, the valuation of securities firms has expanded to above 1.9X, and the current valuation of securities firms is 1.6X, which has a certain room for growth on the whole. Pay attention to the main line of strong beta business and the main line of mergers and acquisitions.


The Ministry of Finance issued 6 billion yuan RMB bonds in Hong Kong. Today (11th), the Ministry of Finance issued the sixth issue of RMB bonds in 2024 to professional investors in the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, with a scale of 6 billion yuan. This year, the Ministry of Finance issued a total of 55 billion RMB bonds in Hong Kong to further improve the normal issuance mechanism of RMB bonds in Hong Kong.The financing balance of the two cities increased by 13.706 billion yuan. As of December 10, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 956.648 billion yuan, an increase of 5.195 billion yuan over the previous trading day. The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 909.757 billion yuan, an increase of 8.511 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,866.405 billion yuan, an increase of 13.706 billion yuan over the previous trading day.Market News: The United States is considering imposing tougher oil sanctions on Russia before Trump takes office.

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